A slump in new electric vehicle registrations in Germany could set the country’s electromobility growth target back at least five years, according to industry expert Ferdinand Dudenhöffer, reported in Die Welt and Clean Energy Wire. Dudenhöffer sees both the abrupt end to EV purchase premiums and the debate around a ban on combustion engines as triggers for the current sales slump, making the target of 15 million EVs on the road by 2030 seem increasingly out of reach. “Germany is losing more than five years in the ramp-up of electromobility,” he told Die Welt. The high share of EV sales seen in 2022 and 2023 was not expected again in Germany until 2028, according to his calculations.
Meanwhile, the dual head of German carmakers Porsche and Volkswagen, Oliver Blume, said he remains committed to the switch to electric mobility as both companies postponed EV growth targets. “The technology is far superior to the combustion engine,” Blume told Die Welt in an interview. But business daily Handeslbatt had reported VW would postpone the start of production of its Trinity electric model to the end of 2032 (originally 2026), while Porsche also recently postponed its target to achieve an 80 % share of EVs by 2030.
Delivering new EVs has always depended on demand and market developments, Blume said. Charging infrastructure, energy prices and tax incentives also played an important role in scaling up electromobility. However, “technologically, and in terms of climate protection, the course is clearly moving in the direction of e-mobility,” he said.
Germany’s car industry is struggling with high investment costs and the low demand for electric cars, while the shift to electric mobility is shaking up longstanding industry networks and production practices centred on combustion engines. This is exacerbated by the German carmakers’ late decision to significantly ramp up their investments in EVs and battery technology, where they face fierce international competition and lag behind in key fields.
